Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.155855 0.182503 0.211827 0.246422 0.286044 0.329932 0.382151
2025-11-02 0.109946 0.145403 0.188752 0.245305 0.316753 0.403600 0.516693
2025-11-09 0.083625 0.121332 0.171231 0.241357 0.336487 0.460040 0.631449
2025-11-16 0.066370 0.104148 0.157574 0.237418 0.352194 0.509411 0.738774
2025-11-23 0.052750 0.088890 0.143150 0.228800 0.358363 0.544244 0.827430
2025-11-30 0.047581 0.085142 0.144430 0.242355 0.396805 0.626871 0.989811
2025-12-07 0.039315 0.074791 0.133699 0.235514 0.402901 0.661630 1.083940
2025-12-14 0.032607 0.065786 0.123608 0.227930 0.406228 0.691457 1.171895
2025-12-21 0.027534 0.058750 0.115694 0.222649 0.412165 0.725101 1.267624
2025-12-28 0.024602 0.055212 0.113383 0.226616 0.433745 0.785390 1.410513
2026-01-04 0.022583 0.053114 0.113369 0.234565 0.462780 0.860075 1.582493
2026-01-11 0.020450 0.050392 0.111736 0.239155 0.485965 0.926224 1.744423
2026-01-18 0.018253 0.047219 0.108902 0.241339 0.505386 0.988199 1.905502
2026-01-25 0.016079 0.043706 0.104892 0.240707 0.519419 1.041738 2.055999
2026-02-01 0.013958 0.039901 0.099677 0.236866 0.526609 1.082992 2.186902
2026-02-08 0.012142 0.036478 0.094775 0.232997 0.533166 1.123258 2.318465
2026-02-15 0.010295 0.032585 0.088187 0.224524 0.529192 1.142652 2.411538
2026-02-22 0.009942 0.032684 0.091100 0.237852 0.572572 1.258150 2.697483
2026-03-01 0.008560 0.029580 0.085683 0.231126 0.571752 1.284920 2.811022
2026-03-08 0.007336 0.026663 0.080269 0.223669 0.568438 1.306093 2.914485
2026-03-15 0.006374 0.024330 0.076012 0.218477 0.569649 1.336567 3.038588
2026-03-22 0.005878 0.023387 0.075384 0.222377 0.592334 1.414167 3.264972
2026-03-29 0.005563 0.022989 0.076229 0.230193 0.625005 1.515524 3.547377